Gustaf Ullman

Until very recently, I was not aware that there exists a mathematical literature on revolutions and collective uprisings. That fact alone seemed worth pausing over. At first glance, the idea sounds slightly surprising: one does not instinctively associate revolutions with threshold functions, stochastic transitions, hazard rates, or metastable states. But on closer inspection this is not strange at all. Whenever a system consists of many interacting agents whose behavior depends on what they believe others are doing, the possibility arises that the macroscopic order may change abruptly even when the underlying parameters change only gradually. The text below was generated by AI on the basis of prompts and editorial guidance. It should be read as an exploratory essay in mathematical and conceptual modeling, not as a contribution to political science in the strict disciplinary sense, and not as a predictive statement about any specific country. Revolutions as Stochastic Phase Tr...